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The Issues · Homelessness · Asheville, NC

The Count That Misses Most Homeless Children

One night each winter, volunteers in Buncombe County count those who have no home. These are the people most of us think of as homeless. On the evening of February 10, 2026, they found 67 children. Almost every child this count has ever found was in a shelter rather than outside. Schools, using a wider definition across the full school year, identified 817 students as homeless in the most recent year published district by district. Neither number is wrong. The difference is the definition.

The simple answer

If you find all of this confusing, you are not alone. This started with a simple premise: How many homeless children do we have in Buncombe County? Unfortunately, it does not have a simple answer nor a single number. Different groups count over different periods of time using different criteria. So, what is the answer? Too damn many.

67
Children under 18 in Buncombe County's 2026 one-night count, taken on February 10, 2026.
Asheville-Buncombe Continuum of Care
817
Students the county's two school districts identified as homeless in the 2023-24 school year.
U.S. Department of Education, Ed Data Express
17×
How much larger the school count is than the one-night count in the same year. North Carolina as a whole runs about the same ratio.
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The rule

What the one-night count includes

HUD requires every Continuum of Care to run a point-in-time count, and it sets the rules for who gets counted. A Continuum of Care is the group of local agencies and providers that plans and coordinates a region's homeless services. Buncombe County's is the Asheville-Buncombe Continuum of Care.

Four places count. An emergency shelter. Transitional housing. Somewhere not meant for sleeping, which covers outside, a car, a tent, or an abandoned building. And a hotel or motel room, only if a government program or a charity is paying for it.

One place does not count, and it is the most common one for children. A family staying on a relative's floor or in a friend's spare room is not in the count. The rule applies no matter how long they have been there and no matter what caused it.

A child in a shelter counts. A child sleeping in a car counts. A child whose family is staying on a cousin's floor does not.

Thirteen years

Almost none of the children are outside

HUD has published an age breakdown for Buncombe County's count every year since 2013. Over those years the number of children under 18 has run between 24 and 62, with one exception.

62 2013 36 40 24 43 29 29 47 2020 37 30 40 49 23 296 2025 67 2026 January 2025 shown twice: the preliminary local total 23, the completed count reported to HUD 296 2013 to 2025 are January counts. The 2026 count was taken on February 10.
Children under 18 counted on a single night in Buncombe County. The figures for 2013 through 2025 are HUD's, from its published estimates by Continuum of Care. The 2026 figure is the Asheville-Buncombe Continuum of Care's own, because HUD has not published a 2026 count yet. January 2025 appears twice because the Continuum's announced total was preliminary and the completed count reported to HUD added the FEMA-paid hotel rooms, as explained below.

The exception is January 2025. Buncombe's Continuum of Care announced 755 people that night, and said in the same release that the final number sent to HUD would be larger, because federal rules require counting people in hotel rooms an agency is paying for. That added 1,548 people in FEMA's Transitional Sheltering Assistance program after Helene. HUD's published figure for the same night is 2,303 people and 296 children. The two are a preliminary local total and the completed federal one, not a disagreement. We have written about what that did to the all-ages figure in what the local count actually shows.

Leaving 2025 aside, the 67 children found in 2026 is the highest figure published for Buncombe County. The previous high was 62, in 2013. Through 2025, almost every child this count found was in a shelter bed or in transitional housing.

0 2013 0 0 0 5 4 3 1 2020 1 1 0 2 1 2025
Children under 18 recorded as unsheltered in Buncombe County's one-night count, meaning outside, in a car, in a tent, or in a building not meant for sleeping. Source: HUD point-in-time estimates by Continuum of Care, 2013 to 2025.

Across thirteen years, the most children ever recorded outside on the night of the count is five. That was 2017. Five of those years came back at zero.

That changes what the child figure can tell you. The number moves with shelter beds more than with anything else. If Buncombe adds beds for families, the figure goes up, with no additional family having lost housing. If those beds close, the figure goes down. The children are still homeless. They are just no longer countable under HUD's rules.

The 2026 count found 824 people in all, and 67 of them were children. Both figures are accurate answers to a specific question, which is how many people were in those four places on that one night. They are NOT an estimate of how many people in the county had nowhere stable to sleep that winter. That number is likely much higher, since one day out of a year is just what the name implies, a point in time.

The other count

What the schools find

Schools run a second count under a different law, and it uses a wider definition on purpose. The McKinney-Vento Act's own term for these children is homeless. Its test is whether a child has a fixed, regular and adequate place to sleep at night. It includes families doubled up with other people because they lost housing or cannot afford a place of their own. It includes families living in a motel when there is nowhere adequate to go.

The reason is part of the definition. A child living with grandparents because that is how the family lives is not covered. A child living with grandparents because the family lost its apartment is. Districts make that call one case at a time. The school count also runs across the whole school year, so a child who is housed in January and homeless in April is still counted in that year's total.

Schools identify these children because identification carries rights at school. A district has to keep the child in the school they attended before losing housing, when that is in the child's best interest. It has to enroll the child straight away, even without school records or proof of an address. It has to provide transportation to that school when a parent asks for it.

In the 2023-24 school year, the most recent year published district by district, Buncombe County Schools and Asheville City Schools together identified 817 students as homeless. Of those, 587 were doubled up with other people, and the one-night count does not include a single one of them.

Doubled up with other people. The one-night count does not include them. 587 In a hotel or motel. Included only when a program or charity is paying. 93 In a shelter or transitional housing. The one-night count includes them. 72 Unsheltered. The one-night count includes them. 65 The whole one-night count that school year found 49 children in the county.
Students identified as homeless by Buncombe County Schools and Asheville City Schools during the 2023-24 school year, by where they were sleeping. The four rows add to the 817 total, with no figures suppressed in either district. Sources: U.S. Department of Education, Ed Data Express; HUD point-in-time estimates by Continuum of Care.

The one-night count taken during that same school year found 49 children in the whole county. The ratio is about seventeen to one. Most of the gap is the definition. The rest is the calendar, because a count that runs all year reaches families a single night cannot.

North Carolina as a whole showed the same pattern that year. Its schools identified 34,950 students while the January count found 2,070 children, also about seventeen to one. Buncombe's numbers are in line with the rest of the state.

After the storm

What is still missing

The 2023-24 school year ended in June 2024. Helene arrived in September. No district-level school figures have been released for any year since the storm.

North Carolina's own statewide count does run later. It gives 39,248 students for 2024-25, the highest figure the state has published. There is nothing underneath it for the western districts.

The numbers exist. Every district has to identify these children, and the state has to report the counts to the federal Department of Education. As of August 2026 nothing district by district has been released for any year after 2023-24. In late July 2026 we asked the North Carolina Homeless Education Program for the western districts' counts, and we followed up in August. The program runs out of UNC Greensboro for the state education department. We do not have them yet. If we get them, we will publish them here.

The takeaway

A small January count is not the same as few homeless children.

Buncombe County's one-night count found 67 children in 2026, and through 2025 almost every child it found was in a shelter bed rather than outside. It measures who is in four specific places on one night, and it measures that well. The larger group of children doubled up in someone else's home is in the school count instead. When you see a homeless count for Buncombe, check which one you are reading, and check what year it was taken.

Sources & notes

The Buncombe series. Figures for 2013 through 2025 are from HUD's 2007-2025 Point-in-Time Estimates by CoC, published with the 2025 Annual Homelessness Assessment Report, column "Overall Homeless - Under 18" for NC-501, the Asheville/Buncombe County Continuum of Care. HUD's file carries no under-18 column before 2013, which is why the series starts there. As a check, we parsed the same figures independently from HUD Exchange's per-Continuum Homeless Populations and Subpopulations reports for 2014, 2015 and 2017 through 2025, where children under 18 is the sum of two rows, "Children Under Age 18" in households with at least one adult and one child plus "Persons in households with only children," which HUD footnotes as persons under age 18. Every year agrees with the workbook exactly. The 2016 report is not available at that address, so 2016 rests on the workbook alone. Every count date we hold falls between January 25 and January 31: 2015, and each year from 2017 through 2025. We do not hold a date for 2013, 2014 or 2016, and HUD's own rule places the count in the last ten days of January. The unsheltered figures charted above come from the same two sources and run 0, 0, 0, 0, 5, 4, 3, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2 and 1 from 2013 through 2025.

The 2026 figures. The 2026 count night was February 10, 2026, with the encampment, street and service-location counts continuing through the following day, February 11. It sits outside the usual January window because a severe winter storm led the Continuum to seek and receive approval to move it, which the Continuum records in the same report. The figures are the Asheville-Buncombe Continuum of Care's own reporting, published in its 2026 Point-in-Time Data Overview. HUD has not published a 2026 count by Continuum. The report gives 824 people in 733 households, 8.1 percent of them under 18, which it prints as 67; 334 unsheltered; 245 in emergency shelter and 245 in transitional housing; and 14.1 percent, or 116 people, in families with children, with no child-only households. It also names three additions to local capacity during the year: a 35-bed emergency shelter for women and children, a 50-bed seasonal winter shelter, and 37 units of transitional housing in RVs for families displaced by Helene. Because 2026 comes from a different document than the rest of the series, the two bases are marked separately in the chart above.

January 2025, and why the number appears twice. The Asheville-Buncombe Continuum of Care announced its 2025 count as 755 people, made up of 270 in emergency shelter, 157 in transitional housing and 328 unsheltered, with 3.0 percent under 18. Three percent of 755 is about 23 children; the local release publishes that year as a percentage rather than a number, so the child figure is ours and is approximate. In the same release, on its 2025 count, the Continuum said the final count reported to HUD would also include people in FEMA's Transitional Sheltering Assistance program in Buncombe County on the night of January 28, 2025, adding 1,548 people, because federal regulations require counting people sheltered in hotels or motels paid for by an agency. HUD publishes that night as 2,303 people and 296 children under 18, made up of 1,818 in emergency shelter, 157 in transitional housing and 328 unsheltered. 755 plus 1,548 is 2,303, and the transitional housing and unsheltered lines are identical in the two documents. So the local figure is a preliminary total and HUD's is the completed one; the two are not competing readings of the same night, and the Continuum said as much at the time. What is not established is how many of the 273 additional children were in those hotel rooms. Only the all-ages difference reconciles exactly, and we make no claim about the age composition of the 1,548. For January 2024, before any of this, the two documents agree at 739 people and 49 children.

What the count includes. Conducting a point-in-time count is required of every Continuum of Care by 24 CFR 578.7(c)(2). That duty sits on the Continuum of Care, which the regulation defines as the body responsible for the geographic area, and the regulation requires the count at least every other year; HUD's annual notice is what fixes the late-January window. The four places are paragraphs (1)(i) and (1)(ii) of HUD's homeless definition at 24 CFR 578.3: an individual or family with a primary nighttime residence that is a public or private place not designed for or ordinarily used as a regular sleeping accommodation, or who is living in a publicly or privately operated shelter designated to provide temporary living arrangements, which the regulation states includes hotels and motels paid for by charitable organizations or by federal, State or local government programs for low-income individuals. The body copy shortens that last clause to "a government program or a charity is paying for it," and the shorter form is what HUD's count does in practice: the FEMA-paid rooms after Helene are inside HUD's January 2025 emergency shelter line for Buncombe. Families doubled up with others appear nowhere in that paragraph. They are reached only by a separate and much narrower category of HUD's definition, which the one-night count does not collect.

School counts. District figures for the 2023-24 school year are from the U.S. Department of Education's Ed Data Express, data group 655, Homeless Students Enrolled, drawn from EDFacts File Specification 118: Buncombe County Schools 629 students, of whom 450 were doubled up, 88 in hotels or motels, 39 in shelters or transitional housing and 52 unsheltered; Asheville City Schools 188 students, of whom 137 were doubled up, 5 in hotels or motels, 33 in shelters or transitional housing and 13 unsheltered. Each district's four rows add exactly to its total and nothing is suppressed. The two sides of the seventeen-to-one ratio do not cover the same ages, and it cuts both ways. Data group 655 counts students enrolled in pre-kindergarten through twelfth grade, so it includes pre-kindergarten children and it includes students who have turned 18 and are still in school; the January figure is everyone under 18, including infants and toddlers who are in no school at all. The same file carries a separate count of children from birth through age five who are not in kindergarten, at data group 818, and gives Buncombe County Schools 46 and Asheville City Schools 24 for 2023-24. Those 70 children are not inside the 817. We have not tried to reconcile the two brackets, and the ratio should be read as what it is, a comparison of two collections. The 2022-23 file gives the same two districts 693 and 169, and pairing that year with the January 2023 count of 40 children puts Buncombe at about 22 to one against North Carolina's 20, so the county tracks the state in both years available. Checked on August 16, 2026: 2023-24 is the most recent school year the tool offers, so no district-level figure has been published for any school year after Hurricane Helene. The static EDFacts file series is a separate route to the same collection and stops earlier, at 2019-20. North Carolina's own series is published by the NC Homeless Education Program at the state level only, and gives 39,248 students identified in 2024-25. That state series and the federal district files are different collections and should not be compared with each other.

Who has to do what, in the school half. From the Education for Homeless Children and Youths provisions at 42 U.S.C. 11432. Identification is a district duty: each district's liaison, designated under (g)(1)(J)(ii), must ensure that homeless children and youths "are identified by school personnel through outreach and coordination activities with other entities and agencies," at (g)(6)(A)(i). Reporting is a state duty: the state education agency must "collect data for and transmit to the Secretary ... a report containing information necessary to assess the educational needs of homeless children and youths within the State," at (f)(3). The federal collection that carries the district-level figures is EDFacts File Specification 118, data group 655, which is where Ed Data Express gets them. The school of origin for the duration of homelessness, subject to a best-interest determination, is (g)(3)(A)(i). Immediate enrollment without records is (g)(3)(C). Transportation to and from the school of origin at the request of a parent or guardian is (g)(1)(J)(iii)(I).

Derived figures. The about-23 child figure for January 2025, the about-1,500 difference between the two emergency shelter lines, the 817 county total for 2023-24 and its 587 doubled-up total, and the seventeen-to-one ratios of 817 to the 49 children in the January 2024 Buncombe count and of 34,950 to the 2,070 children in the January 2024 statewide count, are ours, calculated from the figures named above. The school figures count identifications across a full school year and the January figure is a status on one night, so the two are not measuring the same thing and the ratio is a comparison of two collections rather than of two counts of the same children.

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